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Welcome to our blog – a place to discuss and exchange thoughts and ideas about IRISOS, the stock markets and all matters relating to wealth management.


Articles
Tuesday, July 16, 2019 by Ms. Schmid|Comment 0
within category Digitization of the financial industry,Fintech
Increasing digitization, increasing online consumer behavior and the still untapped potential of electronic payments are creating room for growth. But this playing field is not dominated primarily by established banks, but by a handful of Fintechs. Upcoming companies were able to prove this not onl…
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Thursday, July 11, 2019 by Ms. Schmid|Comment 0
within category Dell,US Technology
Dell is trading at a bargain level according Barron’s. Dell is a tech conglomerate and the sum of its publicly traded stakes in other

companies worth around USDbn 59 when Dell market capitalization is only USDbn 39 currently. One of the most valuable assets of

Dell is its 81% stake in VMware.…
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Thursday, July 4, 2019 by Ms. Schmid|Comment 0
within category Consumer Stocks
The global economic weakness and the trade conflict between the USA and China have in some cases left their mark on cyclical consumer stocks in Europe. However, the central banks have already signaled countermeasures to support the economy. We don’t think that the trade conflict will intensify any …
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Monday, July 1, 2019 by Ms. Schmid|Comment 0
within category IIOT,S&P500,Old economy,New Economy
The analyst consensus of the financial services provider Bloomberg shows that the five heavy weights the 12-months price target is close to 12 % above the current price levels, while the average for the remaining market and in particular for old style companies is in the low single digits.


Cle…
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Monday, May 27, 2019 by Christophe Schmid|Comment 0
within category Trade war,IT
Assuming that the newly implemented technology transfer restrictions stay in place, one should expect the IT industry earnings to decline by low-single-digit percentages for the US tech, mid-single-digits for Asia in general, high-single-digits for Taiwan. In the case, the US implements a 25 % tari…
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Friday, May 24, 2019 by Christophe Schmid|Comment 0
within category KB Home,PulteGroup Inc,Toll Brothers Inc.
Most of this is now in the prices, however. Homebuilders stock performances are now close to the LT trend. The gap we had noticed earlier this year has almost entirely been filled. That said, against a backdrop of higher volatility linked to trade war, investors may concentrate on Domestic America …
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Friday, May 17, 2019 by Christophe Schmid|Comment 0
within category Europe,Climate
An ambitious EU climate & energy strategy:


·         20% cut in greenhouse gas emissions, 20% of EU energy from renewables and 20% improvement in energy efficiency by 2020
·         40% cut in greenhouse gas emissions, 32% of EU energy from renewables and 32.5% improvement in energy efficienc…
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Friday, May 17, 2019 by Christophe Schmid|Comment 0
within category China,Nuclear Industry
China current nuclear capacity is 42.80 gigawatts (GW), and represents only 3.90% of the total Chinese electricity production in 2017 (around 1100 GW)


The country wants to cut the portion of fossil fuels to below 80% by 2030


·         110 GW nuclear capacity to fulfil part of this require…
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Friday, August 4, 2017 by Christophe Schmid|Comment closed
within category Automobile,AI,Automation und Robotik
Faurecia reported a strong semester and even upgraded its 2017 operating margin guidance. Furthermore, it could well be the case that the company could make bolt on acquisitions in order to achieve its strategy (create the cockpit of the future) ie adding technologies to its portfolio, focus on aut…
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Tuesday, April 4, 2017 by Christophe Schmid|Comment 0
within category Growth cycle,Economic cycle,Investment themes
Ever since 1990, investors were exposed to the regular occurrence of stock-market roller-coasters this on the back of numerous major game changers (Internet, an excessive housing market, low interest environment, war, as well financial market exuberance, amongst others). Today, investors are expose…
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Wednesday, December 7, 2016 by Christophe Schmid|Comment 0
within category Europe,Economic cycle
Change doesn’t happen simply because we want it; it happens when we actually need it!


Ever since the fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989, the world has moved forward fully synchronized, based on macro-economic targets. At least, that is what we thought until recently. We seemed to be able to surmoun…
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Friday, December 2, 2016 by Christophe Schmid|Comment 0
within category Europe,European economic recovery
Nationalism – a risk for the EU?
In more recent history, the question of whether the EU will fall apart or stay alive has come to the surface. While the investigation of this possibility is certainly warranted, we strongly believe that the EU will stay alive. Nevertheless, some strong rethinking ma…
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Wednesday, November 9, 2016 by Christophe Schmid|Comment 0
within category USA,Economic outlook
In our quarter investment letter of July 2016, we suggested that Donald Trump is likely to win the election because his message has considerable appeal. Evidently, the majority of voters were sufficiently appealed by his message above all else, taking markets by surprise.



Broadly speaking, Tr…
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Tuesday, July 5, 2016 by Christophe Schmid|Comment 0
within category Brexit,Europe,Economic outlook
Between now and the UKs triggering of Article 50, what will happen to the UK, to Europe and to the rest of the world? Here are a few reflections. 




 
Ex-Ante Brexit 
As we are all aware, on Thursday 23rd June the UK’s c…
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Wednesday, June 15, 2016 by Christophe Schmid|Comment 0
within category Brexit,Europe,Economic outlook
Foul by the United Kingdom ... Why a two-match ban would be beneficial for Europe Imagine you´re at a football match – United Kingdom vs. Europe. After one minute, Europe leads by 1 goal. Shortly after an indirect free kick the UK commits a foul and gets a red card. The tournament loses one of its …
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Wednesday, March 2, 2016 by Christophe Schmid|Comment 0
within category Europe,Economic outlook
Barbarians at the gate!
For the last 40 years, Europeans have experienced relatively peaceful and prosperous times and the initiation and organization of our political and economic activities has responded to these flourishing conditions. 
Yet, mostly due to pure ideology, many urgent debates that …
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Monday, February 15, 2016 by Christophe Schmid|Comment 0
within category Investment outlook,Investment policy
Energy

We continue to believe that crude oil prices will fall further.
 As long as the long-term per barrel price outlook does not fundamentally change, industry majors cannot devote sufficient capital to new projects.
The near-term outlook remains unclear too. The cash-hungry countrie…
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Saturday, February 13, 2016 by Christophe Schmid|Comment 0
within category Company metrics
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Friday, February 12, 2016 by Christophe Schmid|Comment 0
within category Investment outlook,Investment policy
Basic Materials

Despite significant and lasting commodity price decline, the materials sector is not yet an investment opportunity.
 We argue that the following changes need to take place first:


Chinese demand for raw material needs to restart (but we doubt that the demand will retur…
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Tuesday, February 9, 2016 by Christophe Schmid|Comment 0
within category Investment outlook,Investment policy
Strategy matters

Our economic lead figures aren’t much different to those of previous years. Across the globe real GDP growth is expected to be in the region of 2% to 2.5% in the US, slightly lower in Europe at 1.8% to 2.3%, and 5.5% to 6% in Emerging Markets Asia (EMA). The behavior of end-consu…
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