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Welcome to our blog – a place to discuss and exchange thoughts and ideas about IRISOS, the stock markets and all matters relating to wealth management.


Articles
Friday, May 24, 2019 by Christophe Schmid|Comment 0
within category KB Home,PulteGroup Inc,Toll Brothers Inc.
Most of this is now in the prices, however. Homebuilders stock performances are now close to the LT trend. The gap we had noticed earlier this year has almost entirely been filled. That said, against a backdrop of higher volatility linked to trade war, investors may concentrate on Domestic America …
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Friday, May 17, 2019 by Christophe Schmid|Comment 0
within category Europe,Climate
An ambitious EU climate & energy strategy:


·         20% cut in greenhouse gas emissions, 20% of EU energy from renewables and 20% improvement in energy efficiency by 2020
·         40% cut in greenhouse gas emissions, 32% of EU energy from renewables and 32.5% improvement in energy efficienc…
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Friday, May 17, 2019 by Christophe Schmid|Comment 0
within category China,Nuclear Industry
China current nuclear capacity is 42.80 gigawatts (GW), and represents only 3.90% of the total Chinese electricity production in 2017 (around 1100 GW)


The country wants to cut the portion of fossil fuels to below 80% by 2030


·         110 GW nuclear capacity to fulfil part of this require…
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Friday, August 4, 2017 by Christophe Schmid|Comment closed
within category Automobile,AI,Automation und Robotik
Faurecia reported a strong semester and even upgraded its 2017 operating margin guidance. Furthermore, it could well be the case that the company could make bolt on acquisitions in order to achieve its strategy (create the cockpit of the future) ie adding technologies to its portfolio, focus on aut…
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Tuesday, April 4, 2017 by Christophe Schmid|Comment 0
within category Growth cycle,Economic cycle,Investment themes
Ever since 1990, investors were exposed to the regular occurrence of stock-market roller-coasters this on the back of numerous major game changers (Internet, an excessive housing market, low interest environment, war, as well financial market exuberance, amongst others). Today, investors are expose…
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Wednesday, December 7, 2016 by Christophe Schmid|Comment 0
within category Europe,Economic cycle
Change doesn’t happen simply because we want it; it happens when we actually need it!


Ever since the fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989, the world has moved forward fully synchronized, based on macro-economic targets. At least, that is what we thought until recently. We seemed to be able to surmoun…
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Friday, December 2, 2016 by Christophe Schmid|Comment 0
within category Europe,European economic recovery
Nationalism – a risk for the EU?
In more recent history, the question of whether the EU will fall apart or stay alive has come to the surface. While the investigation of this possibility is certainly warranted, we strongly believe that the EU will stay alive. Nevertheless, some strong rethinking ma…
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Wednesday, November 9, 2016 by Christophe Schmid|Comment 0
within category USA,Economic outlook
In our quarter investment letter of July 2016, we suggested that Donald Trump is likely to win the election because his message has considerable appeal. Evidently, the majority of voters were sufficiently appealed by his message above all else, taking markets by surprise.



Broadly speaking, Tr…
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Tuesday, July 5, 2016 by Christophe Schmid|Comment 0
within category Brexit,Europe,Economic outlook
Between now and the UKs triggering of Article 50, what will happen to the UK, to Europe and to the rest of the world? Here are a few reflections. 




 
Ex-Ante Brexit 
As we are all aware, on Thursday 23rd June the UK’s c…
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Wednesday, June 15, 2016 by Christophe Schmid|Comment 0
within category Brexit,Europe,Economic outlook
Foul by the United Kingdom ... Why a two-match ban would be beneficial for Europe Imagine you´re at a football match – United Kingdom vs. Europe. After one minute, Europe leads by 1 goal. Shortly after an indirect free kick the UK commits a foul and gets a red card. The tournament loses one of its …
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Wednesday, March 2, 2016 by Christophe Schmid|Comment 0
within category Europe,Economic outlook
Barbarians at the gate!
For the last 40 years, Europeans have experienced relatively peaceful and prosperous times and the initiation and organization of our political and economic activities has responded to these flourishing conditions. 
Yet, mostly due to pure ideology, many urgent debates that …
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Monday, February 15, 2016 by Christophe Schmid|Comment 0
within category Investment outlook,Investment policy
Energy

We continue to believe that crude oil prices will fall further.
 As long as the long-term per barrel price outlook does not fundamentally change, industry majors cannot devote sufficient capital to new projects.
The near-term outlook remains unclear too. The cash-hungry countrie…
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Saturday, February 13, 2016 by Christophe Schmid|Comment 0
within category Company metrics
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Friday, February 12, 2016 by Christophe Schmid|Comment 0
within category Investment outlook,Investment policy
Basic Materials

Despite significant and lasting commodity price decline, the materials sector is not yet an investment opportunity.
 We argue that the following changes need to take place first:


Chinese demand for raw material needs to restart (but we doubt that the demand will retur…
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Tuesday, February 9, 2016 by Christophe Schmid|Comment 0
within category Investment outlook,Investment policy
Strategy matters

Our economic lead figures aren’t much different to those of previous years. Across the globe real GDP growth is expected to be in the region of 2% to 2.5% in the US, slightly lower in Europe at 1.8% to 2.3%, and 5.5% to 6% in Emerging Markets Asia (EMA). The behavior of end-consu…
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Tuesday, February 2, 2016 by Christophe Schmid|Comment 0
within category Investment outlook,Investment policy
Outlook and strategies for the quarter ahead
World

 The world economy will adjust to becoming a service oriented society relatively quickly. It’s likely this shift will occur more smoothly in some regions than others. For instance, developed economies with strong purchasing power will have an …
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Friday, January 29, 2016 by Christophe Schmid|Comment 0
within category Average oil production prices
Who produces oil at which price?
Long-term development costs (including capex)  versus short-run operation costs. Conclusion: Saudia Arabia, Iraq, and Iran have a lot of breeding ground.
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Wednesday, January 27, 2016 by Christophe Schmid|Comment 3
within category Beneficiaries of US oil exports
US oil export have started, Where do they go and who are the beneficiaries?
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Tuesday, January 26, 2016 by Christophe Schmid|Comment 0
within category Investment policy
The investment conditions ahead, to be more difficult than expected!
 Global

 2016 will be a two-stage year:


H1: Building up the myth of normalization


Global growth and inflation statistics will surprise on the upside (fiscal boosts are overlooked in DM)
Fiscal policy will ease…
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Saturday, December 12, 2015 by Christophe Schmid|Comment 0
within category Interest rates,Monetary Policy,QE
Are your investments at risk?
It’s common knowledge what’s happening when interest rates go up. Higher interest rates instantly provide better returns for short-term investors. However, investors seeking capital appreciation and income through longer-dated bonds are affected negatively during such …
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